Hello everyone and welcome to A-Town fantasy football 2011. This is the first edition of my weekly article I will be writing about our league. I will probably just do my power rankings followed by a few things that caught my attention the week before. This week I am doing a draft recap that will involve draft grades, strengths, weaknesses, each team’s best value pick and season outlook.
First things first, I just want to bring it to everyone attention that this year’s draft took over 5 hours. I am having my assistant check the archives but I am pretty sure that’s the longest live fantasy draft in the Rocky Mountain Region. Next year we are definitely adding a 5 minute time limit. With that said I think the draft went well and we all had a great time. It was also pretty funny how the auto pick selected two kickers. Last year I was dead wrong with my predictions as I pre-ranked Alex 14th and he shocked the world and won! So basically what I am saying is don’t put too much stock into these rankings and if I did rank you low that’s probably a good thing so save the hate mail. Without further ado here is the A-Town 2011 Fantasy Football draft recap/season outlook/zero week power rankings:
1. Logan
Draft Grade: A+
Strength: WR Getting Nicks and Wallace as your one two punch at WR in a PPR league is criminal. Logan will have two top 10 WR on a weekly basis and that’s scary. Santana Moss is a great depth pick and a potential flex pick.
Weakness: QB It was pretty difficult to find a weakness on this stacked team so I settled on QB due to injury concerns. If Stafford can stay healthy he has top 5 potential. The only problem is that we all know he won’t stay healthy. If I am Logan my stomach is going to be turning in late Nov and Dec with Cutler as my starting QB.
Value Pick: Davone Bess in the 9th Round. Bess is a PPR monster and everyone knows I love him.
Season Outlook: I really don’t see a scenario where this team doesn’t make the playoffs. Logan should flirt around my top 5 all year long.
2. Pop
Draft Grade: A
Strength: RB,WR,QB Rather than having one strength I would say Pops is solid at almost every position. With Barber gone in Dallas its Felix Jones’s time to shine and Greg Jennings is the favorite target of the best QB in the league.
Weakness: TE Don’t get me wrong I think Jared Cook is a great player and an asset to the Titans. However, I don’t think he is a good fantasy TE. I don’t see him getting enough targets to warrant the tag of a serviceable TE.
Value Pick: Lance Moore in the 6th. With Bush gone in NO it’s going to be up to Lance Moore to take his touches. The Saints have big plans for Moore and by mid season so will Pop’s.
Season Outlook: Pops did his own thing in the corner at the draft and kept to himself. He silently drafted a monster team and is going to cause other owners to lose sleep on a weekly basis.
3. PSell
Draft Grade: B+
Strength: Pat is in the same situation as Pops as he has a very solid team with no holes and no one standout strength. If the Saints offense can re-discover the magic from 2 years ago this team could go a long way. I love Reggie Bush in the 7th.
Weakness: The only real weakness for Pat is injuries. He has a history of players going on the DL and Colston, Benson and Bush aren’t exactly known for their durability.
Value Pick: Nate Burleson in the 9th. Did you see those two touchdown catches in the preseason!? They showed two important things. Burleson has elite talent and Stafford looks for him in the redzone on a regular basis.
Season Outlook: Pat looks to have a strong team once again. If he can stay healthy look for this team to still be around in late December.
4. Alex
Draft Grade: B+
Strength: WR Alex went with back to back WR with Wayne in the 2nd and Austin in the 3rd. These are elite WR and the only reason either one was available is because the draft took a crazy turn as we saw 5 QB’s go off the board in the 1st! Alex took great depth picks in Steve Johnson and Lee Evans.
Weakness: RB I obviously love Rice and Wells is a very serviceable #2 back. I am worried about the talent level after that. Tolbert may not get the touches like he did last year if Matthews can stay healthy and after that Alex has nothing.
Value Pick: Kyle Orton in the 9th. Orton won’t win you a week but he certainly won’t lose you one either. With all the talent on this roster Alex needs a QB that can put up 20 pts consistently and that’s exactly what Orton offers.
Season Outlook: I love Alex’s draft strategy of waiting on a QB then drafting two back to back. His roster is loaded and as long as he doesn’t drive himself crazy trying to pick the right QB on a weekly basis, he can stay atop the league standings.
5. Kristen
Draft Grade: B+
Strength: QB, RB Kristen took the one player who has the chance to single handedly win you the championship in Michael Vick. If things work out he could carry her all the way. Forte and Moreno are a great one two punch at RB and Stewart and Thomas are great backups.
Weakness: TE Celek and Vick never seem to be on the same page. I hate this pick and Kristen better hope McNabb uses Shiancoe as his outlet all year long.
Value Pick: Moreno in the 4th I know I have a little home town bias but Moreno has looked great in camp and in Fox’s system is going to get a career high in touches.
Season Outlook: Kristen looks strong all across the board. The main questions for her are can Vick play at the same caliber he did last year and can Dwayne Bowe become an elite fantasy option?
6. Jeff
Draft Grade: B
Strength: RB Jeff’s gamble of taking Chris Johnson looks like it’s going to pay off huge. He’s back in camp and looks ready to go. Bradshaw had his coming out party last year and looks like the real deal. Grant is a great backup and likely flex player.
Weakness: WR,TE Ok so Calvin Johnson is a beast and may carry Jeff’s entire WR crop, but if he can’t I don’t like Lloyd this year and same goes for Julio Jones. Lloyd won’t get nearly as many targets and the lockout is going to hurt Jones’ production as he wasn’t able to learn the offense and develop a relationship with Matt Ryan. Grankowski may not even start half the games for his own team at TE so I am not sure what Jeff was thinking there.
Value Pick: Chris Johnson round 2 Shame on all of us for letting CJ drop to the second round. He should produce like a top 3 pick. We all knew there was no way the Titans would move ahead without him.
Season Outlook: This team is an early favorite by most. I am not so convinced. I am a little worried about Flacco and depth all around. I guess only time will tell who’s right and who’s wrong.
7. Garret
Draft Grade: B
Strength: RB, QB First of all I love Romo. His three favorite targets went in our first four rounds so why did it take him so long to go? He’s poised for a career year. MJD and Best are top of the line PPR backs and Garret should have an advantage at RB almost every week.
Weakness: WR Fitz is always going to produce - we know that - but the book is still out on Amendola. I know he catches a lot of balls but St. Louis had a lot of injuries at WR last year and now that everyone is healthy Sam Bradford will have like 9 guys to choose from. Are we so sure Amendola is going to be his favorite? I am certainly not.
Value Pick: Crabtree in the 9th Crabtree hurt his foot again and that’s a major concern, but if he can come back healthy and focused he has top 15 talent and could end up being a major steal.
Season Outlook: Garret can always be counted on for his effort. He will make the right lineup decisions and look to make trades. If he can find a few studs on the waiver wire I see him moving up into my top 3 after a few weeks.
8. Clay
Draft Grade: B-
Strength: WR, TE Anytime you can get the best player at a position that’s huge. Clay did it with two positions! Johnson is my favorite WR and Gates is the undisputed number one TE. Good work Clayton.
Weakness: RB,QB Clay is relying heavily on the former Heisman winner Mark Ingram who’s in a standing room only backfield in NO. Behind him Scott and Snelling won’t offer much unless there are injuries to Benson and Turner. Clay always falls into the trap of drafting guys he loves from Oklahoma. I do like Bradford this year but not as a QB 1. I would have liked to see Clay take another QB to start and use Bradford when it made sense.
Value Pick: Bernard Scott in the 11th You never know with Chris Benson so having his backup is always a good thing. If Benson goes down or starts to suck, Scott will step right in and carry the offense. This pick could end up being huge for Clay.
Season Outlook: With as long as it took Clay to select his team you would think he was solving equations and coming up with algorithms to select the perfect team. Well that wasn’t the case as Clay will have a middle of the road squad that will still surprise a few teams. Depending on the way the cards fall he may have an outside shot of the playoffs heading into the stretch run.
9. Mike
Draft Grade: B-
Strength: WR Roddy White and B-Marsh could combine for over 200 catches this year. Mike did a great job of selecting PPR receivers and should be rewarded for that.
Weakness: RB It was hard to find a glaring weakness for this team but since they pay me the big bucks to dissect teams, I am going with RB depth. Starks has the talent to take over Grant as the Packers lead ball carrier, but as of right now he’s still number 2. After that Mike has nothing. An injury to any one of Mikes RB could spell the end of his playoff chances.
Value Pick: Turner in the 2nd Turner is one of the rare starting backs who will get all of the goal line carries. He has proven time and time again that he is an elite fantasy option who gets all the chances to succeed. He should outperform his draft position.
Season Outlook: With great in season management Mike can make a run at the playoffs. Big Ben fell into his lap and if he has the bounce back year everyone is predicting Mike should be pretty happy towards the end of November.
10. Anton
Draft Grade: B-
Strength: QB Aaron Rodgers may win the NFL MVP this year as well as fantasy football MVP. He can make every throw and has that perfect arrogance about him. Anton will have the best QB week in and week out.
Weakness: TE For whatever reason Anton decided to neglect TE until the last two rounds. However, he could have done a lot worse than the skilled Hernandez and big Dustin Keller. If one of those guys can emerge he will be ok, but that’s a BIG if.
Value Pick: Addai in the 6th With Manning not 100% the Colts may have to rely on their other veteran in Addai. Expect him to take the load off the passing game. If Donald Brown or Delone Carter fail to step up this year, Addai could get well over 200 carries and be a top 10 pick. A great value for a guy drafted in the 6th round!
Season Outlook: The five teams I have ranked 6-10 could have gone in any order. Anton has a fair chance at making the playoffs. Drafting a QB at number 2 was risky but couldn’t have worked better as he was able to get Frank Gore and Wes Welker. I wouldn’t be shocked if Anton comes out of the gate swinging and moves up my board.
11. Devan
Draft Grade: C
Strength: WR Desean Jackson, Percy Harvin and A.J. Green are a solid group of pass catchers. I think Green will be a bit inconsistent, but will have some huge weeks.
Weakness:RB After AP, Devan is in real trouble at RB. The Lawfirm could be in a three way position battle by mid season and Ronnie Brown can’t be counted on. Devan needs to find some better depth at RB through the waiver wire if he wants to stay competitive.
Value Pick: Mercedes Lewis in round 9 The jags didn’t sign Lewis to that big extension to just block for MJD. They’re going to find him in the red zone and he could work his way into the top 5.
Season Outlook: Devan is a new comer to A-Town fantasy football. If history shows us anything it’s that newbees come out strong and make a statement. However, I am not convinced Devan will follow suit. Questionable picks like Ryan in the 3rd and Pitts D in the 5th have me thinking Devan will finish in the bottom of the pack in his inaugural season.
12: Dan
Draft Grade: C
Strength: RB Dan’s strength is clearly at running back as he spent his first two picks on ball carriers. McCoy catches more passes than any other back and Hillis has that blue collar mentality fantasy players love. Michael Bush is a solid depth pick and Hardesty is a nice handcuff.
Weakness: WR Dez has top 5 talent we all know that, but he thrived last year when Romo was out. With Romo back looks for him to spread the ball around more and not focus on Dez like Kitna did. I am not sold that Ochocinco and Plax can revive their careers in different settings. Dan’s putting a lot at stake into top 10 Wr’s of the past.
Value Pick: Hines Ward in round 9 Everyone is writing Hines off. He’s still a Hall of Famer with a nasty streak who’s going to find a way to get it done.
Season Outlook: OK, so I realize putting the league commish at 12th isn’t going to make me any friends. Dan has a reputation for winning and always works a few trades in his favor, but my gut tells me he’s going to have a down year.
13: Gill
Draft Grade: C-
Strength: WR If you spend three of your first five picks on WR it better be your strength. However, Jackson, Williams and Manningham are no sure bets. Gill better hope this works out.
Weakness: RB This teams RB’s are a joke. What was Gill thinking? Oh wait he wasn’t. I mean who waits ‘til round 7 in a 14 team draft to take their second RB. Good luck with that strategy.
Value Pick: Schaub in the 6th Schaub has stayed healthy the past two seasons and has the best receiver in the league to throw to. He could produce like a top 5 QB and prove to be an absolute steal in the 6th round.
Season Outlook: I would bet against this team making the playoffs. Gill has zero depth and will frequently lose due to a player’s bye week.
14: Chris
Draft Grade: D+
Strength: RB Run DMC is an absolute badass and Blount isn’t far behind him. That’s a scary one two punch. To go on top of that Chris added great backups in LT and McGahee. This team has the most RB depth in the league.
Weakness: WR This is the reason I have Chris ranked last. In a PPR league Chris has 2 homerun hitter WR’s who are in awful situations. I fear Rice will fall into the monsoon in Seattle that washed Housh right out of the league when he was in his prime! As far as Knox goes I simply put don’t trust Culter. If these two guys must start for Chris on a weekly basis, he is going to be in a lot of trouble.
Value Pick: Darren Sproles in the 11th Sproles is in a new offense, but his role shouldn’t change much. He’s going to catch a ton of passes and be a productive fantasy RB.
Season Outlook: It really does pain me to put Chris last. He seems to find a way to win when his back is against the wall and cares more than almost anybody else. Maybe he’s still got some of that magic from last year in him, but I will believe it when I see it. Who knows, maybe Brady throws for 50 TD’s again.